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  • Kyle Melo

The Betting Perspective - West Semifinal CGY @ SSK

Calgary @ Saskatchewan (-2.5): TOTAL 41.5

Sunday's playoff slate ends in Regina for the West semifinal between the Saskatchewan Roughriders and the visiting Calgary Stampeders.

These two sides met three times in the regular season, with the Stamps taking two of those contests. Every one of those matchups were decided by less than a touchdown and this one should be no different.

The Stamps turned their season around after a horrible 1-4 start to the year and it was sparked by wins over the Riders in back-to-back weeks. Calgary quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell has shown some spark at times in 2021 but consistency has been an issue. Mitchell recorded four scores and seven picks against Saskatchewan over three games, he also finished the campaign with ten passing touchdowns against 13 interceptions.

The Riders are probably playing their best football of the year currently if you remove last week's performance against the Ticats, a contest that meant nothing in terms of the standings for Craig Dickenson's team. Riders quarterback Cody Fajardo threw 14 touchdowns and 11 interceptions in the regular season but finished strong, connecting for seven scores and just three interceptions over his final five games.

Receiver Duke WIlliams has given the Riders a new sense of confidence after his acquisition late in the season. Williams has 17 catches for 285 yards in four appearances in 2021, his 16.8 yards per reception is four yards more than the next starting receiver on the Riders, which is Brayden Lenius at 12.7 yards per catch. Duke offers a new type of big play ability that Cody Fajardo didn't possess for much of the season.

This will be the first time the Riders and Stamps have played in the postseason since 2009, a game the Riders won 27-17; the spread in that contest was Riders -2.5, which is the line for Sunday's West semifinal.

The betting movement for this one has been all of the place depending on where you shop; in some books, the Riders have climbed a point but others have seen Saskatchewan be on the other side of public money because of where the opening number was set.

Regardless, the Riders are less than a field goal favorite, but are an awful 1-5-2 against the spread in their last eight divisional semifinal games.

On the other hand, Calgary are an impressive 6-1 ATS in their last seven versus West opponents.

The trends are telling you to ride the road side but this should be a feeling bet, the Riders can't lose back-to-back playoff games in Riderville.

Can they?

Confidently take Saskatchewan, and lay the 2.5 points.

Pick: Saskatchewan -2.5

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